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From the archives: Are near-death experiences sufficient proof of life after death?

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This article originally appeared in The Skeptic, Volume 2, Issue 4, from 1988.

Since the seventies there has been a revival of interest in, and a considerable expansion of the study of, near-death experiences (NDEs); especially those describable as out-of-the-body experiences (OBEs). For instance, J.C. Hampe’s To Die is to Gain (London: Darton, Langman and Todd, 1972) and R.A. Moody’s Life After Life (New York: Bantam, 1977) have both sold well and attracted the attention of the electronic media. In Immortality or Extinction (London: Macmillan, 1982), Paul and Linda Badham round off their very creditably critical account of the research reports of these and other writers by asking: “If we accept these ‘traveller’s tales’ from the dying as evidential, what conclusions follow?”

Their own cautious verdict about those NDEs that are also ODEs is: “If no other plausible explanation can be put forward, then we have some grounds for accepting them as being what their percipients claim them to be – reports of what actually happens at the moment of death. And what appears to happen is that the soul leaves the body and begins to move on to another mode of existence.” (p. 89)

In the foreground is a bust of Thomas Hobbes that sits to the front-left of a portrait of the same man.
Bust (and portrait) of the English philosopher, Thomas Hobbes, at Hardwick Hall. Photo by Tim Ellis, via Flickr CC BY-NC 2.0 DEED

Hold it, now! Is there any good reason to believe that these tales are evidence for anything other than the experiences that their tellers may or may not have had in the privacy of their own minds? Let us never forget how the incorrigible Thomas Hobbes responded to the claim that God spoke to some prophet in a dream: “Certainly, I will allow that he dreamed that God spoke to him.”

What we can deal with here, and perhaps settle, is the small question of whether any OBEs either do or could support, as the Bradhams and so many others clearly believe, a Platonic-Cartesian view of the nature of man. It is only if that is answered in the affirmative that there arises the question of whether they do or could constitute evidence for survival.

The prior question itself arises because many people have reported that, usually in the crisis period of a serious illness, it has seemed to them that they were seeing themselves from a point of view other than that occupied by their own eyes, and probably while their eyes were in any case shut. They have seemed to see, and much more rarely in other modes to perceive, both themselves lying apparently unconscious in their beds and other objects not visible or otherwise sensible from the position of those beds. It is said too that sometimes the subjects of these OBEs produce information, which appears to them to have been sensibly acquired, about objects not normally observable, even by the medical staff and fit visitors (Badham 1982, pp. 74-5 ).

Certainly these first are very odd and very remarkable experiences. Nor is there any reasonable doubt that they do occur; although whether any of their subjects can in fact produce information about objects not normally observable is open to question. If and in so far as it is established that they do, then these productions of information will have to be rated as ESP performances. But what is grossly uneconomic and gratuitous is to attribute such performances to incorporeal souls, postulated ad hoc, rather than to the flesh and blood persons who were the patients of the OBEs in question. It is enough to have to hypothesise ESP, without also hypothesising immaterial souls to be its agents: “Agents,” as Ockham is supposed to have said, “are not to be multiplied beyond necessity.”

The fact that OBEs do occur, albeit rarely, is no more a reason for saying that the person having such experiences is at the time disembodied, than is the fact that we can all image (that is, form a mental image of) ongoings distant in either time or place a reason for saying that; when we are engaged in these imagings, we are actually then or there, rather than when and where we in fact are. And, if subjects do produce information about objects not normally observable by anyone, then, as in the séance room situation, these achievements can and should be most economically described in terms of the psi-powers of those subjects.

It is best to assimilate the case of OBEs to that of imagination (imaging). For what is in dispute is not really what (private) experiences are had or what mental images are formed, but how these experiences and these images are properly to be described. So, just as the correct answer to the question, “Where and when is the woman imagining she is Helen of Troy, being seduced by Paris?” is “Wherever she is when she is doing the imagining; maybe in boring Bootle on a wet Sunday afternoon!”; so the answer to the question “Where was the patient when he was having the out of the body experiences?” is – just as dispiritingly – “In his bed, apparently unconscious.”

From the archives: a 1987 interview with CSICOP chairman Paul Kurtz – part two

This article originally appeared in The Skeptic, Volume 2, Issue 3, from 1988.

Paul Kurtz was chairman of the Buffalo, NY-based Committee for Scientific Investigation of Claims of the Paranormal (CSICOP), editor of the humanist magazine Free Inquiry, President and editor-in-chief of Prometheus Books, and a professor of philosophy at the State University of New York at Buffalo. He was author of 27 books, the most recent of which is The Transcendental Temptation. Paul Kurtz dies in Octoober 2012.

For this two-part interview, founder of The Skeptic, Wendy Grossman, interviewed him at his home on September 21st. 1987.

WG: There were a number of write-ups about the Parapsychology Association Conference, mostly about Bob Morris, who is reported now to be doing things – looking for people who’ve had trouble with machines, you know, “are you a computer jinx, write to us” that sort of thing, and the other thing is he’s looking through Scottish folklore, and he’s looking through the files at the School of Scottish Studies in Edinburgh, looking for patterns that might be worth researching.

PK: What kind of patterns?

WG: The articles didn’t really say.

PK: I think Robert Morris is a good man, he was at the University of Syracuse, we’ve had him at our CSICOP conference, and I think he’s fair-minded in his approach, and objective. We’ve indicted many of the psychical researchers in the past for being biased, and wanting to help the facts, and being willing to interpret some of the results positively, but I think that the parapsychologists have learned from our criticisms and that many of them do want to abide by the stringent rules of scientific objectivity, and I think Bob Morris comes under that category. I think he was one of the best choices that Edinburgh could have made.

WC: They had a lot of trouble, didn’t they, finding a university to take the Chair in the first place?

PK: Yes. I think it’s terrible. I think that any field of investigation ought to be pursued, and the fear of pursuing parapsychological research, considering it to be less than respectable, is an expression of unfortunate timidity. I welcome any kind of research in parapsychology or psychical research. I’d never want to cut that off. I’m unconvinced as yet that they’ve found anything that stands the test of scrutiny. But of course what’s going on in the parapsychological laboratories is far different from the media, the popular imagination, and how that has been exploited.

WG: Hilary Evans has just been saying [B&IS 1.5] if UFOs are really landing and taking people away, this is one of the most important things that has ever happened to the human race, and how do we learn about it? From popular books sold in neighborhood bookstores.

PK: Exactly. Philip Klass has said that if UFOs are landing and abducting people, then this is of cataclysmic significance. If there are intelligent civilizations elsewhere, then a large share of government money and research ought to be spent on this inquiry. But generally it’s on the fringes that you get the claims made, and reputable scientists and news organizations have not been able to confirm them. That’s why we’re skeptics.

WG: As a folksinger, I know some of the folk tales Hilary’s referring to, and it’s fascinating to watch the patterns. People used to be abducted by the fairies. Steuart Campbell says that every loch in Scotland at one time had its kelpie, which took people away and this was an explanation for drownings that nobody understood. And now people disappear on UFOs.

PK: It’ s very similar. Because in the whole history of the race there were monsters. I mean, there were gorillas, tigers, wild wolves, and bears. It’s only been in the last fifty years that we’ve tamed practically every corner of the globe. So this fear of monsters was meaningful historically. It cuts deeply in the primeval consciousness of man, and I suppose that’s a residue left over.

WG: It’s the same pattern, would you say?, the replacement of fantasy by science fiction, the replacement in the popular myths of the fairies with stories of UFOs…

PK: Well, the paranormal I think is fed by human imagination, and imagination is wonderful, we couldn’t live without it, it’s creative, it is expansive, it’s exciting, it’s the realm of the possible spun out of our own creative insights and fantasies. You can’t and don’t want to cut off imagination, the problem is when you fudge the difference between imagination and reality and that’s what’s happening today, so science fiction, the realm of the possible, is taken as true. If something is possible, therefore believers think it is actual. That’s the great mistake, to take it as truth.

WG: Well, Whitley Strieber, who wrote Communion, was a novelist.

PK: There are various interpretations of Whitley Streiber, but one interpretation is that he’s concocted it out of his imagination.

WG: Well, if he was a novelist first, he’d have had some practice, I suppose.

PK: He did – his other books are similar. Wolves in Central Park. In one of his books, he walks into Central Park and he reaches a den of wolves. So you could interpret that as the pure poetic license of a novelist, and I think that is how I would interpret Communion, that it was spun out of his imagination. You don’t want to dampen imagination, all the great novelists, playwrights, dramatists, poets, scientists have to create new worlds, But it is important to distinguish between fantasy and actuality. That is the problem that we face today with the growth of the paranormal and the New Age and how deep a hold it has on the public imagination.

WG: I thought the point of the article in the last SI about children’s literature and fantasy was very well taken – there is such a thing as healthy fantasy.

PK: We can’t live without fantasies – it makes life exciting. You fantasize a beautiful woman that you make love to and you fantasize what’s going to happen when you save your money and build a nice home somewhere in the countryside, and so the rich poetic weaving of your imagination is important. The inventor thinks about something he’ll bring into being and lo and behold he does, that’s the imagination at work. But you know, the other factor – I use the term The Transcendental Temptation, which is the title of a book I’ve written recently –

WG: Which was reviewed in the British & Irish Skeptic [1.3]…

PK: I think that there is a tendency for the human mind to leap into the unknown by means of imagination and to postulate or to create hidden universes and this is how I think that gods are spun out of human fantasy and longing. And so the paranormal is the new fabric being woven out of the imagination and idle fancy. But it must satisfy a need, that’s why I think the paranormal is so difficult, because it’s a religious phenomenon. Belief in the paranormal is not simply reducible to scientific hypotheses, though that’s part of it. It’s really a quasi-religious expression of a deep longing for a transcendental universe which we can be put in touch with. And I think that’s why, incidentally, it’s mounting. The year 1987 in America has seen an astounding revival of the paranormal. I think in one sense stronger waves of belief have manifested than we’ve had in a long time with UFO abductions, trance channeling, etc.

WG: Of course, in Britain what we’ve had is Geller going up in a helicopter.

PK: In America, too, Geller returned. We also have the reincarnation regression, Shirley MacLaine, harmonic convergence, much of it fanned and sold by the media. But the media wouldn’t get anywhere unless the people were interested.

WG: Well, the Sun published the whole Geller thing because people would flock to buy it.

PK: Yes, so there are consumers out there. There’s a perennial human interest in the idea that there’s a “transcendent universe. ” Now I find it difficult to understand what is meant by the transcendent, not only in paranormal terms but in philosophical terms. Surely there are large areas of the universe we do not understand, and it transcends the present dimensions of knowledge. So we’re always breaking new frontiers. But, they’re reading more than that in, they’re reading into the unknown some mysterious, occult, puzzling reality and that they’re not entitled to do. You can say that what we don’t know is beyond what we now know, and transcends present knowledge, that’s almost a truism, but to say that what we don’t know therefore includes some supernatural, paranormal, or occult reality is already to read into what’s not been tested, and that’s the leap that they make.

WG: I tend to look at things in very simple, practical terms, and it often seems to me that a lot of people are desperate to believe that there’s someone around who knows what’s going on, and as people lose confidence in politicians, particularly in this country, and as scientists are showing all the time, well, there’s this planet, and that planet, and if God exists, where is he? they start thinking about things that might just be possible.

PK: True. And it’s always interesting to think about that, you always have to keep your mind open to that. But, the real problem is that they convert what may be possible into what they really demand and make real, so the possibility’s converted into some existential reality, and that’s a mistake.

WG: The question that comes up a great deal in Britain does concern what I gather is old history. But when Mark Plummer was in London in May, he got asked about the so-called Star-Baby business and the Gauquelins, and also about the two Fellows who split off from the Committee. He didn’t really say much, and I think people would like to know a little more about it.

PK: “Star-Baby” was published first in Fate magazine, which is something like the Daily Mail, or the Sun in Britain, an extremely unreliable magazine. It’s one of the leading paranormal magazines, and if you read it, it sells fortune crystal balls, and…

WG: It sounds like Prediction magazine, or Psychic News

PK: Exactly. Fate is exactly like Psychic News.

WG: Probably a larger operation.

PK: Circulation of well over 150,000. It panders to the whole realm of the paranormal, so it hardly can be taken as an objective basis for criticism. In fact Fate magazine attacks CSICOP and leading scholars and skeptics in almost every issue.

WG: OK, but this particular…

PK: But this particular attack by Dennis Rawlins, who had been associated with CSICOP in the early days, I think was unfair, and was an ad hominem attack.

WG: What exactly was the attack?

PK: I’ll go into that. It was largely made up of gossip, innuendo, and conjecture, who said what, where, when, and it’s been used by the critics of CSICOP, who’ve had great difficulty in finding something that they can attack that’s more recent. But the whole point was this, that Michel and Françoise Gauquelin, two French researchers, began investigating astrology, and Michel Gauquelin became very critical of classical or popular astrology. But he thought that he detected “astrobiological” patterns between the time and place of birth of various individuals and the planetary positions. So he correlated Saturn or Jupiter with the various professions. The strongest correlation he found was with Mars and sports champions. Now the PARA committee, which was formed in Belgium many years ago, attempted to replicate Gauquelin, but the results were disputed. Gauquelin said they had replicated, and they refused to accept his interpretation. We came on the scene in 1975, before the creation of CSICOP. Marvin Zelen, who was a statistic an at the State University of New York at Buffalo and later became Chairman of the Statistics Department at Harvard, a very distinguished statistician, proposed a test to break the impasse between the Belgian interpretation and the Gauquelins, “the Zelen test, ” and this we published at that time in the Humanist magazine, when I was editor. In fact I think I published about eight articles by or about Gauquelin over the years. Now there was some dispute whether Marvin Zelen who did that test had properly interpreted the results. “Star-Baby” was Rawlins’ critique of Marvin Zelen’s interpretation which was endorsed by George Abell, an astronomer, and myself, as co-author. Zelen may very well have been wrong in his test and in analyzing the data. He was disturbed because all of the sports champions who were examined were French, but the results depended primarily upon Paris. But the Parisian data had been lost in a fire, and Gauquelin had focused on Paris, and Zelen didn’t know whether the Parisian sports champion was typical of everything else. So we argued about the data, how do you interpret the data, and Rawlins disagreed. Rawlins is a very strong skeptic, probably stronger than anyone else on the Committee since or before, and he always expressed to members of CSICOP that he thought that Gauquelin was a fraud, that he fudged the data from the beginning. We refused to ever say that, for we had no proof of fraud. But he thought that Zelen’s analysis was mistaken, so that became Star-Baby, because he wanted us to admit that we made a mistake. We did have errors, and we published that admission. One makes mistakes in science. Let’s say the errors were open to dispute. We then went on to an American test, and Rawlins was the one who helped determine the position of Mars. Rawlins never attacked the American tests. So the so-called “Star-Baby” controversy was differences of interpretation of one test. Where we stand now. we don’t believe that Gauquelin’ s data or findings in France and Europe have been replicated anywhere in the world, least of all in America. Again differing about how to interpret the American test, Gauquelin thinks they have been replicated, we do not. So Star-Baby is as far as I can see, an exaggerated attack on one test that was proposed before CSICOP came into effect through the people who were involved later associated with CSICOP, including myself. As far as I can see the issue is finding a mountain in a molehill signifying nothing. But it’s used by our critics, who very rarely understand.

WG: Brian Inglis brings it up all the time.

PK: Inglis brings it up all the time, but CSICOP has published everything that Gauquelin has ever sent us, and we’ve published all the data, and we’ve published all the disagreements on both sides of the question. So that there was never, as it was claimed, an effort by CSICOP to fudge the data or to cover up. The charge is totally false. We have an open mind about Gauquelin, we still don’t think he’ s been replicated, and we’re still urging scientists in other countries in the world to see if they can do an independent replication, and that’s where it stands. Does that explain it?

WG: It sounds like a very clear explanation.

PK: That’s exactly what happened.

WG: The question that was asked at the same time was, what about these two Fellows that split off from CSICOP, and…

PK: Which two Fellows? Truzzi and Rawlins?

WG: Presumably. Were there more than two, or were those the only two who’ve ever left?

PK: Any organization anywhere in the world has some difference of opinion, and that’s only normal and natural. So what happened was that Rawlins was not re-elected to the Executive Council because he didn’t show up to place his name in nomination after – the terms of office are three years – he did not place his name in nomination, he was not present, so he was not re-elected. Truzzi had resigned from CSICOP in the first year because there was disagreement about the editorial policy of the Skeptical Inquirer, and the board of editors disagreed with his view. And that happens in many organizations. And there were two or three other scientific consultants or Fellows who without any prejudice no longer continued on CSICOP, but it’s remarkable we’ve had so few resignations.

WG: So it sounds like three or four, perhaps.

PK: Three or four. One of them who did resign came back later. But there’s been really no “major split” in CSICOP, it was between Rawlins and Truzzi.

WG: It’s made to sound like that.

PK: They’ve built it up, because they can’t find very much else to attack in CSICOP. But I’m sure this is true of most institutions anyway. We are human beings, we have disagreements. We’re attempting to be fair-minded, our critics don’t agree with our conclusions, but we’re committed to open and objective inquiry and investigation.

From the archives: a 1987 interview with CSICOP chairman Paul Kurtz – part one

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This article originally appeared in The Skeptic, Volume 2, Issue 2, from 1988.

Paul Kurtz was chairman of the Buffalo, NY-based Committee for Scientific Investigation of Claims of the Paranormal (CSICOP), editor of the humanist magazine Free Inquiry, President and editor-in-chief of Prometheus Books, and a professor of philosophy at the State University of New York at Buffalo. He was author of 27 books, the most recent of which is The Transcendental Temptation. Paul Kurtz died in October 2012.

Founder of The Skeptic, Wendy Grossman, interviewed him at his home on September 21st 1987.

Wendy Grossman: It seemed to me that the three general areas that would be of most interest in Britain and Ireland would be, first of all, the connections you have to Britain and Ireland – the organisations you’re involved with – and second of all, the kinds of things you would like to see the British & Irish skeptics accomplish, and third of all, particularly in Ireland, the relationship that you see between skepticism and humanism. In Ireland that’s very much an issue. It even came up at Mark Plummer’s public meeting – what is your attitude toward God, what do you think about religious miracles? And what we said was, anything that can be investigated now is fair game. But still, I think it would very interesting to hear you talk about it.

Paul Kurtz: Well, my interest in the British Isles is longstanding, and particularly having been a young GI in the Second World War and having served in the US Army and being based north of London. I don’t remember now exactly where – the Midlands – during the war. And I used to go to London every weekend I could. And so that went on for several months before we went over to the Continent – I was shipped there during the Ardennes battle. And then, I’ve always remembered how much Hyde Park influenced me, because I wandered into Hyde Park and I couldn’t get over the fact that here were these people standing on soap boxes and in particular there were pacifists who were arguing that they should not oppose the Nazis. And I went from place to place. You had communists, socialists, anarchists, reactionaries, every point of view expressed, and that sense of freedom of speech and commitment to democracy at that time enormously impressed me.

But I’ve been back to Britain practically every other year since, although there was a hiatus after the war. I have always worked closely with British colleagues, because I think that Britain is vital in the intellectual world, in science and philosophy and the arts and literature, and has a very important role in influencing American thought and conduct. And I’ve been to all the far reaches of the empire, from Canada to South Africa to Australia to India and have always been impressed by the impact of the British on the world. Now, I’ve not really had the same close affinity with Ireland. I’ve never been to Ireland, actually.

WG: Well, we’ll have to change that. I’m always amazed because Britain is so small, and yet it’s affected the entire world.

PK: Astounding, the impact. When I grew up as a young man, they said, the sun never set on the Empire, and the Colonial Empire was really quite a sight to see. And who would have imagined that a few short years after the war that would totally disappear – that’s quite a change, from Britain at the centre to Britain returning home, more insulated and insular. But my relation to Britain is ever since, because I’ve been Vice-President of the Rationalist Press Association and I’ve been member of the British Humanist Association, and the National Secular Society. And then we’ve got a publishing arrangement between Pemberton Books and the Rationalist Press Association and Prometheus. They import our books and we import theirs. Over the years we’ve co-published many books.

The key point is that in psychical research the British are vital – the Society for Psychical Research was founded in 1882, and the intense interest of British scholars in the whole area of psychical phenomena is fundamental. And then I’ve been so influenced by British philosophy, particularly by the empiricists that I feel that Britain is my second land. Locke. Bacon. Berkeley. Hume. John Stuart Mill was a commanding influence on my thought. Bertrand Russell, down to the present, so that we are truly intellectual, cultural colleagues, British and Americans. And that’s why I think it’s terribly important that the skeptical critique keep alive in Britain.

In fact, that’s where I got my skepticism. My skepticism comes largely from Scotland, from David Hume, who was the greatest of the Scottish philosophers, the influence of Hume, and the Irishman Bishop Berkeley, too, who was a great philosopher in the 18th century. So that impact, and particularly the impact of David Hume – if you cannot find evidence or observations to support a hypothesis then you ought not to accept it. So I became committed to an empiricist or experimental program of testing knowledge.

WG: Sounds like Conan Doyle, too – he was Scottish as well.

PK: He said something similar?

WG: Well, Sherlock Holmes did – “When you have eliminated the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth”.

PK: Yes. but Conan Doyle was very naïve about the paranormal. He accepted practically everything uncritically.

WG: It’s fascinating. Because Holmes was so rational.

PK: Holmes was, yes. But not Doyle himself, who was very naïve. He even believed in the Cottingley Fairies. The Fox Sisters…

WG: Maybe he had a weakness for young girls.

PK: Maybe. That’s a good point. Yes, maybe. When the Fox Sisters were claimed to be frauds because they were cracking their knuckles on the wooden floor, he said there may have been ectoplasmic rods coming out of their knuckles.

WG: I had an interesting conversation with Leslie Shepard – it was about the Cottingley Fairies women, one of them had said yes, the pictures were frauds, but they really did see fairies.

PK: I see.

WG: And he said, ‘Well, you know, that’s a very interesting statement’, and I said, ‘Yes.’

PK: How do you corroborate that, verify it? That’s the whole problem. CSICOP is interested in objective inquiry, it wants to be fair-minded, open-minded, it wants to submit any claims to testing, it doesn’t want to foreclose investigation, it doesn’t want to be dogmatic, it doesn’t want to turn skepticism into an ‘ism’ in the worst sense. That’s why it’s terribly important that the Americans keep in close ally with the British, and therefore, the kind of debate between British and Irish skeptics and scientists with American skeptics and scientists is very crucial, and we must constantly leave the door open. That’s why we welcomed the British & Irish newsletter that you’ve created, and the British & Irish committees. They’re fundamental to this dialogue.

It’s interesting looking at the history of psychical research. I teach a course in philosophy in the paranormal and parapsychology at the State University of New York at Buffalo, in which I review the history of psychical research and spiritualism, and also the work of that famous society [the Society for Psychical Research] and of course its proceedings have always intrigued me, going back to the work of FWH Myers. Edmund Gurney, Hogson, the Sidgwicks, and others, and their early efforts to test thought transmission, spirit communication and survival of the dead. It’s a very fascinating history, and I think that those connected with CSICOP have a lot to learn by reading that rich literature.

A black and white photo of a room full of people, mostly white and mostly men, sitting in a carpeted conference room on metal/leather chairs around round tables, looking towards a door as someone enters.
The Banquet at the 1983 CSICOP Conference in Buffalo, NY. By Robert Sheaffer, CC BY-SA 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons

I’ve spent many months going through as much as I could of the Proceedings of the British Society for Psychical Research. We’re all indebted to their early efforts and to many of the blind alleys they went down. You see their great enthusiasms and failures. But nonetheless I think the efforts of that heroic band of researchers to submit the paranormal to experimental inquiry are a very important contribution to knowledge and we’re all grateful. The fact that they, in my view, have not achieved hard results, and that what they hoped they would find has not been confirmed doesn’t any the less mean that the quest of the investigation was not intriguing, fascinating, and exciting, and I can go back and read that material. And it’s really exciting to do so.

WG: One thing I’ve noticed, following some of the spiritualist mediums a little bit, is that many of the spiritualist meetings are still held in churches in Britain.

PK: Oh, really? Are they still strong?

WG: I have never personally been to one. One of our subscribers, Gerald Fleming, goes around to quite a few of these meetings. He went to Doris Stokes’ meetings when she was playing in little, tiny churches. And he says many of them are held in churches. There seems to be a strong connection. Many of the psychics say they believe in God – Geller now goes on television and he talks all the time: “I believe in God”, “I take care of my spiritual side”, “I am a happy person”, and in his book, The Geller Effect, he seemed to be suggesting that the skeptics were atheists and maybe Marxists, and perhaps very dangerous characters.

PK: Well, of course. I think those charges are very unfair ad hominem attacks, because whatever one’s religious beliefs are is quite irrelevant to the effort of science to test these claims in a neutral and objective way. The charge of Marxism is, of course, a complete red herring. And in any case, whether one is a believer or a non-believer in religion is not pertinent to whether or not you can confirm precognition or psychokinesis or anything else.

WG: Or whether Uri Geller can bend a spoon.

PK: Yes. That’s all quite independent.

WG: There seems to be an implication, though. Perhaps they think the audience will like them better or believe them more if they say that they believe in God.

PK: But you can believe in God and not believe in psychokinesis or not believe in God and believe in psychokinesis. There’s really a testable hypothesis. So skepticism about the paranormal is not related to humanism or atheism. Skepticism is an honorable and noble intellectual posture, and it’s held by a lot of people historically. It’s a method of inquiry. All that it’s emphasising is being tough-minded instead of tender-minded in whatever field you investigate. And in regard to the paranormal, it’s simply a demand for evidence and replication before a hypothesis is accepted, and that seems very sensible. So whether one is an atheist, an agnostic, or a skeptic is non sequitur.

WG: I think personalities come into it a great deal, too. People are testing individual subjects, and they want to like them, they want them to succeed.

PK: Personalities come into every field of investigation, no matter what it is, if you’re a chemist in a laboratory, or a physicist or an economist, or a parapsychologist. But here of course the testing is with human subjects, that’s true, but many other sciences test human subjects, in medicine, in biology, in psychology.

WG: But you’re not quite so dependent on their telling you the truth and behaving honourably?

PK: Well. I think in a lot of fields you’re dealing with human beings, I mean, what is political science about if not human beings, the context of power, making decisions in the state: economics is about wants, consumption, exchange, distribution, and the processes of production are all human. So in all the social, psychological, behavioral sciences, human beings are involved. It’s not unique to parapsychology. Surely psychologists are dealing with the same phenomena — namely, human subjects and their psychological dispositions, attitudes, beliefs, so I don’t find anything specially separate or distinct about this. You still have to submit it to objective tests in the laboratory, overcoming purely subjective or introspective reports unless you can corroborate or confirm them.

WG: I just read Stephen Jay Gould’s The Mismeasure of Man, where he talks about apparently objective scientific measurements. Somebody has to interpret them, and when they were interpreted, the interpretation coming from a racial bias.

PK: Well, it’s true, bias enters into many fields. Look at the Piltdown Man. Look at Burt’s work in IQ, Kammerer’s work on the toad. You sometimes have bias in fields, and there may be subjective interpretation, but presumably science must rise above bias and neutralise it. And you try to develop principles of interpretation that your peer group within the science world will accept.

WG: Would you say that in the long run the scientific method triumphs? That as time goes on, an incorrect result gets modified simply by the force of…

PK: Not always, because scientists, after all, are human beings. But one would hope that there is this self-corrective process, and that by peer criticism eventually hypotheses or theories that are not sustained by the evidence or are less powerful in prediction or explanation are overthrown. That’s a constant process of modification.

But the trouble in parapsychology, the reason we’re skeptics about parapsychology, is that the so-called claims are never sustained under analysis. You go into one laboratory and you hear a parapsychologist who says he’s been able to get above-chance calls, but you take the subjects to another laboratory, and you don’t find that. You can’t duplicate the results. Often, when you analyse it, there’s sensory leakage, bad experimental design, the statistics may or may not be called into question. In any case. the main thing is you cannot replicate it, so that’s why we are skeptical.

That’s why many skeptics do not necessarily believe that ESP has been demonstrated in a laboratory. Of course if that’s the case, I think the most important single case since the Second World War is the work of SG Soal. It was conducted in London at the height of the war and shortly thereafter. It was fascinating on this side of the Atlantic to read about it – this was precognition and telepathy confirmed. But Soal couldn’t get any results in the thirties when he used Rhine’s methods. The view was that maybe Britons don’t have ESP, but then with Gloria Stewart and Basil Shackleton, Soal thought he had confirmed it. This convinced an awful lot of people who thought, oh, yes, at long last, rigorous conditions, using highly credible and distinguished scientists as observers, Soal at last had proven this. But what a shock it was to find that he had fudged the random-number tables that he brought, and most likely this work was seriously flawed and had to be rejected.

So where we stand is we’re still not certain that precognition, telepathy or psychokinesis or ESP has been confirmed in a laboratory. Even though there are always impending breakthroughs, under scrutiny what was thought to be a breakthrough is not sustained by the evidence. So that’s why we’re skeptics. I think that Susan Blackmore’s book, The Adventures of a Parapsychologist best illustrates the false starts and blind alleys, and the failures that so many people have had in these areas.

WG: And great dedication as well.

PK: Great dedication to find results, but not able to do so.

WG: Perhaps she was too honest?

PK: Well, she was, she had an open mind, and she tried. She never got results. She attempted over and over again.

In Part Two, next week, Paul Kurtz discusses the role of imagination, and the Gauquelins, and the “Mars Effect”.

From the archive: S.G. Soal – A statistical master of deception

This article originally appeared in The Skeptic, Volume 2, Issue 2, from 1988.

The philosophical world was startled in 1944 by the publication from the head of the Cambridge philosophy department of an extraordinary paper: a 15-page discussion in the journal Philosophy on “The Experimental Establishment of Telepathic Precognition.”

Of course this was not the first time that a respected thinker had expressed belief in a fringe science. Newton himself was a devotee of alchemy, Alfred Russell Wallace was a firm believer in spiritualism, Sir William Crookes believed in the séance room materialisation of the dead. But this time it really looked different. To begin with, the author had a reputation as a supremely cautious man. Head of a faculty which included Bertrand Russell, Wittgenstein and Moore, his intellectual standing was beyond dispute.

Broad was not writing about his own experiments but about those of another academic, S.G. Soal, a mathematics lecturer at London University. Soal was a sceptic about psychical research. In the mid-1930s he had collected over 120,000 card guesses with no sign of above-chance results. He had become openly scornful of J.B. Rhine’s celebrated card-guessing experiments in America and Rhine’s claim to have demonstrated extrasensory perception (ESP). Yet it was these very results of Soal’s, apparently totally negative, that had led to the new findings. A colleague had urged Soal to look again at those discarded data and try the effect of scoring the guesses, not against the target card at which they were aimed, but against the cards just before and just after. As Soal later recounted, with much reluctance he made the check and found, to his surprise, two persons who had scored indisputably above the chance level on this new criterion. One of these subjects, Basil Shackleton, was then followed up by Soal in a new series of experiments and it was these that yielded the remarkable findings now signalled by Broad.

A black and white photo of Hubert Pearce and J.B. Rhine experimenting with Zener cards. Rhine is holding a pen in his right hand. Both men look serious, wearing suits, staring at the table.
Hubert Pearce with the parapsychologist J. B. Rhine, experimenting with Zener cards. Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons

Soal’s experiments, unlike many others in the new field of “parapsychology”, appeared to be models of scientific rectitude. Extreme precautions were taken to eliminate normal means of communication, recording errors, cheating by the participants, and even fraud by the experimenters. The experiments continued over a total of 40 sessions. A large number of witnesses were brought in. Copies of the score sheets were made by hand at the end of each session, witnessed, and posted in the presence of witnesses to Professor Broad in Cambridge. The originals were stated to have been deposited in the archives of the Society for Psychical Research.

Shackleton scored consistently above chance throughout, but his success was with the card one ahead – the one to be looked at next. When the calling rate was doubled, his scoring shifted to the card two ahead. In some of the experiments the choice of each target card was made only at the moment of guessing, by taking a counter blind from a bag. This condition seemed to require precognition as the only explanation; it also ruled out any possibility of normal communication through some undetected channel. Finally, the statistical significance was overwhelming (over 10 to 1) so that chance as an explanation was clearly ruled out.

Over the years that followed, the Soal-Shackleton series was constantly cited by parapsychologists as a model; they saw in this work the conclusive evidence they had long awaited. Repeatedly it was said that only a person ignorant of the evidence could now rationally deny ESP. This theme was taken up by less committed but more influential writers, notably in England by C.E.M. Joad, the popular philosopher and broadcaster. Many open-minded people must have been led to see ESP as just another of the marvels, along with relativity and quantum theory, which modern science required them to believe in.

The full story of how these uniquely rigorous experiments were reduced to ruins is too complex to relate here. The process took thirty years and involved many independent researchers. We quote only the highlights.

In 1955, G.R. Price showed that several methods of fraud were possible if collusion were assumed between Soal and two other participants.

Between 1955 and 1960, C.E.M. Hansel developed a hypothesis of fraudulent card substitution by the agent (the person whose thoughts were supposedly being read by Shackleton). For this, Soal would need only one fraudulent collaborator in any given session. Over the whole series three different persons had operated as agent, selected by Soal. Some statistical features of the data seemed to lend some support to this hypothesis, though far from conclusively. Soal scornfully rejected Hansel’s reasoning: he successfully showed that the hypothesis could not account for all of the results.

In 1956, pressure from sceptics requesting the records for study obliged Soal to reveal that, contrary to the published report, the original records were not available because he had lost them. The handwritten duplicates that had been mailed to Broad were still in existence, held by the Society for Psychical Research.

In 1960, further pressure from sceptics obliged Soal to publish a more serious admission which had been known to some of them by hearsay. During the experiments one of the participants, Mrs G. Albert, had reported seeing Soal improperly “altering the figures” – specifically, changing ones into fours and fives. A full contemporary report had been kept by his collaborator, Mrs K.M. Goldney, but Soal had up to that point refused to allow publication, using the threat of a libel action.

In 1971, R.G. Medhurst reported a computerized attempt to identify the sequence of target digits that Soal had used. He was unable to trace the sequences in any relevant sources and concluded that Soal’s account of the way in which the targets were prepared must be incorrect.

In 1973, C. Scott and P. Haskell showed that there was strong statistical evidence in the experimental records supporting the allegation that Soal had “altered the figures”, changing ones into fours and fives in such as way as to turn misses into hits. The effects found were both highly significant statistically. They appeared in just three of the 40 sittings, and in particular in the one in which Albert had reported observing the manipulation, and they could account for the whole significant ESP-effect in these three sittings.

This damning evidence seems to have had little effect on the community of parapsychologists. Almost without exception those who commented rejected the fraud interpretation, despite the highly specific confirmation of Albert’s observation, and reaffirmed confidence in Soal.

The coup de grace came in 1978 when B. Markwick published the results of an astonishingly tenacious pursuit of the line opened earlier by Medhurst. She first showed that the target digits contained many runs of consecutive digits that were repetitions of runs used in earlier sessions, and that this could not have arisen by chance. This in itself was not particularly serious. However, she also showed that in many such cases the repetition was not exact but there were intrusions – digits inserted in the sequence – and that these intruded digits were nearly always hits. The implication of improper manipulation seems almost inescapable.

A black and white photograph of five white men, all in suits and appearing to be over ~50 years of age. They are sat around a table that has cards spread out on it, with a projector screen and bookcase behind them.
The mentalist Frederick Marion (back right) being tested at the National Laboratory of Psychical Research in a card experiment by the psychical researchers Samuel Soal (middle) and Harry Price (right). Source: Josef Kraus (Frederick Marion), Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons

After Markwick’s publication parapsychologists generally gave in and admitted that the evidence against Soal’s honesty was overwhelming. Many, however, continued to discuss the possibility that some of the data in the Soal-Shackleton series were still due to ESP. And most said that, despite their new-found belief in Soal’s duplicity, they had been right at the time to reject the Scott-Haskell evidence.

Clearly the views of parapsychologists are highly resistant to infection by unfavourable evidence. The total collapse of the strongest experimental series ever produced has not visibly diminished their belief in ESP. They simply cite different experiments now.

Recently, parapsychologists have argued that frauds have been identified in many branches of science without thereby discrediting the field of knowledge concerned: “why should parapsychology be treated any differently?”, they ask. They overlook a crucial fact: in ESP research, it is the very existence of ESP that is at stake. The only serious evidence for ESP comes from experiments, like Soal’s, in which guesses are aimed at random targets in conditions where normal communication is supposedly ruled out. But every one of these experiments has been less carefully controlled than the Soal-Shackleton series.

The Soal débacle is the clearest possible demonstration that believers in ESP are over-ready to accept defective evidence. To continue to accord the same value to the remaining experiments even after this demonstration implies an unshakeable faith impervious to counter-evidence.

From the archives: Creationism and Noah’s Ark – founders on the facts

This article originally appeared in The Skeptic, Volume 1, Issue 6, from 1987.

People are sometimes surprised to learn that there still exist today individuals who sincerely believe the earth to be flat and to lie at the centre of the universe. Genuine flat-earthers really do exist and are based in California. Also based in American’s most crank-ridden state are the devotees and promoters of a far more popular but equally ludicrous set of beliefs – the self-styled “scientific creationists.”

According to organisations such as the San Diego-based Institute for Creation Research, the earth is only 6000 years old. fossils prove nothing, and the Genesis account of creation is the literal truth. Being fundamentalists, they are compelled to accept every story in the Bible as historical truth, thus Jonah really did get swallowed, the sun really did stop for a day, and the first woman really was formed from Adam’s rib. In their attempts to prove tales which ought to be taken with a pillar of salt, the creationists resort to gross distortions of fact, ignore mountains of contrary evidence, and use the most absurd fallacies and sophisms. Here I shall examine in detail one of their favourite “theories” – Noah’s Flood – which is also one of the easiest to disprove.

As historians and archaeologists have long known, the ancient Sumerians living in the Tigris-Euphrates valley were subject occasionally to disastrous floods, one particularly severe flood giving rise to the flood story in the “Epic of Gilgamesh” and, after centuries of exaggeration, the story in Genesis. The creationists do not want to know. They believe that the flood took place in 2348 B.C., and the fact that Egyptian history carried on through that period is of no consequence: the Egyptologists have got it wrong.

The creationists tell us that prior to the flood the planet was surrounded by a huge water-vapour canopy which maintained a tropical climate over all the earth. In reality, such a canopy would require conditions like those on Venus to maintain it, and the humidity would have been suffocating. One is also left wondering how all the organisms adapted to extreme cold or dryness survived or even why they were so adapted. Imagine polar bears, cacti, and penguins living together in the conditions of a sauna!

A divine meteorite disrupted this impossible canopy and caused massive precipitation. Fortunately, the earth’s topography was not the same then. There were no very high mountains, so the amount of water needed was not too great. The mountains were thrust up later as the ocean basins opened up to allow the water to drain away afterwards. The creationists ought to learn about plate tectonics.

The “evidence” for all this consists of a few fossil graveyards where whole communities of living things have been wiped out suddenly and the fact that flood tales are common around the world. It does not occur to them that sudden burial and fossilisation can be achieved quite simply by local, natural floods. Nor does it occur to them that most ancient civilisations lived in fertile but flood-prone river valleys – hence the preponderance of flood myths.

Naturally, the geological record contains no record of any world-wide flood. The creationists’ answer is that the geological record is itself the record of the flood! All the rocks from Cambrian times onwards and all the fossils within them were laid down during and by Noah’s Flood. This “flood geology” is supposed to explain the ordering of fossils in the strata. Organisms dwelling on the sea-floor were the first to be buried and so appear at the bottom of the record. Fish are next, then slow-moving land animals, then more mobile ones, and finally the birds, as they can fly and so evade the rising waters the longest. Regrettably for the creationists, the fossil record is hopelessly at variance with this. Whales occur above equal-sized marine reptiles; corals should only be present in the lower levels whereas they occur continuously from the Ordovician to the present day; plants, being rooted to the spot, should all occur together, yet giant tree-ferns and mosses clearly precede flowering plants, and so on.

It is not just the order of fossils that contradicts flood geology. The Permian rock-salt beds of Cheshire formed by evaporation of sea-water, the Carboniferous Fossil Grove in Glasgow with its still upright tree-stumps, or the giant fossil coral reefs over a mile across in the Silurian limestones of northern Indiana all occur in the middle of the sequence of rocks that creationists tell us were laid down during and by Noah’s Flood. The mind boggles at how seas can evaporate, trees grow, and huge coral reefs form during a planetary flood.

The creationists are fond of telling us how the Ark would have been big enough to take on board all the animals. and they reckon it was about the size of H.M.S. Invincible. However. they tend to underestimate just how much living matter had to go on board. An article in Nature in December 1986 put the total number of species at between 1 ½ and 30 million, probably over 10 million. One wonders how a family of eight can, for about a year, look after a floating menagerie of several million sea-sick animals, including dinosaurs!

It is not just land animals that would have had to go on board. The mixing of salt and fresh water together with vast amounts of sediment would have made the oceans intolerable for most aquatic organisms. Presumably Noah somehow managed to cram on board the 90 or so species of Cetaceans, though I am not sure how the various pairs of whales were supposed to survive off a single pair of krill, or how the krill managed. Plants, too. pose problems. A large supply of fresh plant material would be required for food. Where it was all kept is not clear. Seeds (in hermetically sealed containers to prevent premature germination or decay due to the damp) of every species would be needed, as plants and their seeds would perish under miles of water just as surely as any animal. Those animals requiring specialised food would have a problem. The single pair of ants would not have lasted the pair of anteaters long, and pandas will eat nothing but fresh bamboo.

It doesn’t end there. How did diseases survive the flood? Did Noah and his family all carry smallpox, diphtheria, malaria, polio, syphilis, and all the other diseases of mankind? If so, then why did they not die, and if not, then how did the diseases survive? Were the bacteria and viruses kept in little phials in the fridge, perhaps? Thousands, possibly millions, of creatures are utterly dependent upon the Amazon rain forest for their survival. As any ecologist knows, such jungles take millennia to grow or to recover from damage. What did all those poor creatures do while waiting thousands of years for their habitats and food-supplies to regenerate?

Finally, I would like to finish with just one more little fact for the creationists to ponder. In some parts of the world, where lakes form around the foot of melting glaciers, one gets a seasonal variation in the sediments deposited in the lake. The sediment deposited in the summer is coarse, being washed in by the meltwater, and is rich in organic matter from the stagnant, algae-rich water of the lake. In the winter the sediment is the very fine clay left in suspension from the summer and is poor in organic remains The result is an alternation of layers, each pair of layers representing one year’s deposition, and they can be counted back just like the rings of a tree. These sediments, called varves, can contain up to 12,000 pairs of summer/winter layers and. because they contain carbon, they can also be dated by the carbon-14 method, which correlates with them as far back as 12.000 years.

Do those varves show any sign of a break at around 2348 B.C.? Not at all. The sequence is completely unbroken. These simple muds, on their own. are better evidence against the Biblical flood than all the creationists’ half-geology, semi-meteorology, and pseudoscience in general can ever counter.

From the archives: Magicians, mediums, and psychics

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This article originally appeared in The Skeptic, Volume 1, Issue 6, from 1987.

This issue, as promised, we will explore the methods used by mediums to produce spirit manifestations. However, before we get down to the nuts and bolts of the various phenomena, I believe it is important to examine the mental set of the sitters and the setting they are in. This is the key to understanding how and why the generally crude methods of the medium pass muster in the séance room.

First of all, the sitter is in a highly receptive and suggestive state. Their belief systems have them primed to see and experience “spiritual” and “psychic” phenomena. Virtually anything that occurs in a séance can be laid at the feet of the spirits. Most séances are conducted either in total darkness or under a very dim red light. Having sat in more than one pitch-dark séance room, I know how disorienting and disconcerting it can be.

In order for the medium to do his or her job properly, there is almost always a cabinet in which they sit. This cabinet is usually just a curtain drawn around an area, usually eight feet by six feet, to make a closed-off cubicle. Occasionally, the cabinet is simply a curtain drawn across the corner of a room. This is usually the case if the séance is in a private home.

The use of the cabinet is explained as being necessary as a sort of condensing chamber for the psychic force and ectoplasm (the mysterious substance drawn from the medium’s body) which enables the spirits to materialise. Of course, what it is really used for is a place for the medium to do his or her dirty work without being seen. The fact that many mediums allow themselves and their cabinets to be searched means absolutely nothing. Most mediums have a “cabinet attendant” who is, in reality, the medium’s bodyguard and a person who can pass the necessary material to the medium when needed.

The cabinet attendant is explained as being necessary to protect the medium from malicious individuals who would grab ectoplasm, thereby endangering the life of the medium. Sitters are constantly told horror stories of mediums whose spirit manifestations or ectoplasm was grabbed and of the resulting injury and/or death to the medium. Of course, these are merely convenient stories to prevent people from grabbing the ectoplasm and getting a handful of luminous chiffon or worse, a handful of medium.

While the assembled sitters sing hymns, the medium, supposedly in the cabinet in a trance, rapidly dons a black outfit and then slips several yards of luminous chiffon and gauze out of a hiding place and proceeds to manipulate it in various ways. What the sitters see is amazing: a tiny ball of ectoplasm sending out shimmering tendrils which gradually grow into a fully formed materialised spirit. This figure could disappear in the same manner it appeared, or it could grow, shrink, expand, or instantly vanish. While it sounds crude, the effect is quite remarkable.

During such séances any number of different things can happen. If the sitters are regulars and well known to the medium, he may “apport” something for the sitter. Many mediums will move about in the dark and remove small items from women’s purses. The owners are carefully noted and the item filed away, reading to be apported back to the owner days, weeks, or months later. If the medium has access to the individual’s house on a social occasion, it is relatively easy to remove some small piece of jewellery from the bedroom and bring it back “via the spirits” at a later time. This is very effective if the person actually requests the object and it appears seconds later. Boy Scouts aren’t the only ones who know the value of being prepared.

Many séance regulars are people well known to more than one medium. They have regular files, usually quite detailed, that are shared from medium to medium.

An old person's hands holding and moving around a crystal ball. The person's sleeves have white, puffy elasticated wrists
A fortune teller and their crystal ball

Other “manifestations” that occur are voices out of a floating trumpet that answer questions. Well, the trumpet floating is no big deal. The usual trumpet is like a large megaphone with a luminous band painted around the large end. Using his hand or a collapsible reaching device, the medium is able to make it “float” all over the place. Whispering in the end causes distortion and projection of the voice and gives the impression of “spirit” voices. I’ve heard of some mediums manipulating several trumpets simultaneously.

One medium was especially clever. He was challenged by someone claiming to be a magician and psychic expert. The challenge was to cause voices to come out of a trumpet after the trumpet was dusted with a powder that would cause stains on the hand. The medium accepted the challenge, the lights were turned out, and voices came out of the trumpet. The medium had a piece of stiff cardboard rolled around his leg. Under cover of darkness, he removed it, formed it into a megaphone, and produced his phenomena.

This same medium had a stunt that caused all sorts of consternation even among his fellow mediums. He was offered thousands for the secret, but exposed it himself after he went straight. He was able to produce spirit voices from a trumpet while it was being held by a sitter. Imagine the effect! No miniature radios were used, and the trumpet could be thoroughly examined. The secret is quite simple: dressed completely in black and moving through the darkness like the old radio character The Shadow, the medium had another trumpet, painted black. It was into this trumpet that he spoke, aiming it at the trumpet held by the sitter. From a distance of three or four feet, he could cause the spectator-held trumpet to vibrate, giving a perfect illusion.

To materialise different spirits, the combination of simple masks and the luminous chiffon mentioned earlier works wonders. I remember reading of one medium, many years ago, who materialised the face of a very life-like baby. I understand she had it painted on her rather ample bosom.

Turning the lights on and exposing what is going on seems to have little effect on the true believers. Back in 1960, the spiritualist world was shocked by what became known as the Great Camp Chesterfield Exposé. Two researchers who were sympathetic to the spiritualist cause, Tom O’Neil, editor of the Psychic Observer and an ordained spiritualist minister, and Dr Andrilja Puharich (in his pre-Uri Geller manager days), equipped a dark séance room with infrared lights and a snooperscope, a night vision device, for the purpose of filming the materialisation of a ghost. The medium they were filming was Edith Stillwell. Her cabinet attendant was Mable Riffle. Both of these women were professional mediums with many years’ experience and very tough customers.

Unfortunately for them, they had little understanding of what the devices the researchers were using could do. The experiment was a disaster for the spiritualists. Looking through the snooperscope, Puharich saw that what were supposed to be spirit forms of shimmering ectoplasm materializing out of thin air, were actually figures wrapped in chiffon entering the séance room through a hidden door from an adjacent apartment.

The infrared motion picture film confirmed Puharich’s observations. Caught on film, dressed in gauze, were the familiar faces of Camp Chesterfield mediums, impersonating departed spirits.

O’Neil raged against this in his spiritualist newspaper and quite a scandal developed in the spiritualist community. Unfortunately, O’Neil died not too long after. His paper’s circulation had declined seriously as the spiritualist churches which had provided most of its subscribers and advertising revenue rather than rally to his support. Some said he died of a broken heart.

From the archives: Soviet intercontinental missiles and the professional Spanish ufologist

This article originally appeared in The Skeptic, Volume 1, Issue 4, from 1987.

According to information published by the Spanish newspaper El Pais on 14 June 1987, a committee of Spanish Air Force investigators has come to the conclusion that the two UFOs seen by thousands of people on the Canarian archipelago on the evening of 5 March 1979 were really two intercontinental missiles fired by a Soviet nuclear submarine from the Canary Islands to the Siberian desert.

The firing took place 200 miles off the southwest of the archipelago, and from the first the Spanish Air Force suspected that the UFOs were missiles. The United States authorities, when asked about the incident, answered that no US combat unit had fired the two missiles.

The Spanish Air Force investigators found out that the UFOs were directed to Siberia, and study of many photographs of the event confirms that the UFOs were missiles. This was a controversial incident, because some Spanish UFOlogists thought that the UFOs were extraterrestrial ships, while others agreed that the photographs proved that the sighting was the firing of missiles from a submarine either from the US or the Soviet Union.

One of the most important defenders of the extraterrestrial explanation was Juan Jose Benitez, “the unique professional Spanish UFO investigator”. He said in one of his books that the “UFO of the Canary Islands was not a meteorological phenomenon, nor the aurora borealis, nor a meteorite, nor a sounding balloon, and much less a missile.” He affirmed that an “extraterrestrial ship” was seen over the Canarian archipelago on the evening of 5 March 1979.

Photographic analyses made by the Ground Saucer Watch in 1979 came to the conclusion that the UFO was a US Navy Polaris missile. But, on 14 October 1984, the newspaper Diario published an article about a Soviet submarine that had fired two nuclear missiles near the Canary Islands. However, Benitez has never considered the missile explanation, and has written many times ridiculing it.

Of course, this is not the first time that this UFOlogist has made mistakes, because he is the sensationalist UFOlogist par excellence. For example, he has taken toad songs for UFO sounds in a case in Bilbao, the Meier photographs for evidence of a lost civilization, Charles Berlitz for a serious investigator, and so on. But this time Soviet intercontinental missiles exploded over his head and revealed that Benitez has his head full only of exterrestrial ships.

From the archives: media clippings from the death of Doris Stokes

This article originally appeared in The Skeptic, Volume 1, Issue 4, from 1987.

As almost every newspaper reported, Doris Stokes died during the weekend of May 8/9 (coinciding (with no significance, we’re sure) with Mark Plummer’s visit to London. Psychic News caused a stir in a few places by running a large headline on the front page of their issue of May 9, “Doris Is On the Mend”.

Since then , there have been numerous press articles: the Mirror ran a series, “Doris Stokes – Trick or Truth?”; the Lewisham & Catford Mercury reported that her adopted son Terry claimed to have received a message from her after her death; the Sun reported that Doris Collins claimed to have received a message from Stokes as she was dying; the News of the World reported on the journey to the “spirit world” Stokes claimed to have made during a previous illness.

In an interview published in the (Scottish) Sunday Express, 5 January, 1986 , Stokes said she did not expect to act as a guide for other mediums after her death.

Doris Stokes was challenged a number of times to prove her powers were real. In addition to Randi’s standing $10,000 challenge, magician Paul Daniels offered a £10,000 challenge in the Sun, 9 November 1985, and Irish businessman Gerald Fleming, now living in London, offered first $20,000 Australian in 1978 and then later £100,000 if she could demonstrate her powers under properly controlled conditions. She refused the challenges. In an article in the Irish Evening Herald of May 28, 1986, reporter P.J. Cunningham wrote, “Mrs. Stokes has countered Mr. Flemings’ claims by saying he has a vendetta against her and dismissing him as an ‘ignorant Irishman’.” Fleming has made the same offer to Doris Collins, who has also refused to be tested.

Much of what appeared about Doris Stokes in print during her lifetime was uncritical. She published six books of claims with ghostwriter Linda Dearsley, she had a regular letters column in Chat, and there were many newspaper articles about her claims to have received messages from Elvis Presley, Marilyn Monroe, John F. Kennedy (she even claimed the latter two told her they were “just good friends”).

However, there were dissenters. Magician and former British Committee Chairman David Berglas, in an interview with People, August 24 , 1986, said, “There is absolutely nothing that Doris Stokes can do that I can’t do myself… and I’m not psychic.” Paul Daniels, in discussing his £10,000 challenge, explained Stokes’ methods: “It is a mixture of artful questioning and people hearing what they want to hear.” Daniels also presented the skeptical viewpoint in the Mirror‘s “Trick or Truth” series, where he is quoted as saying, “I condemn those who make money callously from the sad, the lonely and the insecure. “

The Mirror added a brief article about Doris Stokes ‘ involvement in the Lamplugh case: Diana Lamplugh is quoted as saying that she received telephone calls from sixty mediums, all with different stories about what had happened to her daughter. Of Doris Stokes, she is quoted as saying, “Mrs. Stokes sounded like a very nice person , but nothing was found. In the end, I’m very sorry to say, she didn’t help us at all.” The Mirror concluded the series with a selection of readers’ letters, almost all of them in defending Stokes, and a few of them attacking Paul Daniels for taking a strong stand against her.

But the strongest, most detailed articles we’ve seen appeared in the Mail on Sunday on April 20 and 27, 1986, and were the work of journalists John Dale and Richard Holliday, the former of whom was also co-author of a three- part series on Uri Geller for the same newspaper.

Dale and Holliday investigated six of her most widely publicized cases. These were: the Yorkshire Ripper, the case of a boy found dead in the Bronx, two Lancashire murder cases, the New Zealand case of Mona Blades, the Baltimore disappearance of Jamie Griffin, and the Los Angeles investigation of the murder of Joe Weiss. In most of these cases, police officers told the reporters that Stokes gave them either no new information or information that was subsequently proved to be wrong. In the remaining cases, the Lancashire police disclaimed any knowledge of Doris Stokes’ having been involved in any way in the investigation, and the LA police told the reporters that they had never spoken with her.

Reporters Dale and Holiday concluded the first of the articles: “This year her books will once again top the non-fiction lists. After examining the evidence, we have found many reasons why some stories, at least, should be reclassified as fiction.”

Thanks to all who sent in clippings and information, from which this brief composite was compiled.